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KickInsights AI Prediction

Japan World Cup 2026 Prediction

Group F · FIFA Rank #18 · Overall Rating 86.9

Win Probability

0

%

Group Finish

P2

Predicted

Advance Odds

92%

Predicted Exit

Round of 32

Attack Rating

87.9

Defence Rating

84.9

Team Overview

Japan enter FIFA World Cup 2026 as FIFA rank #18 in Group F with an overall squad rating of 86.9. KickInsights AI gives them a 0.8% tournament win probability and predicts 2nd place in the group stage. Recent form shows 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses with a 27–14 goal record. The predicted knockout run ends in the Round of 32. Ratings breakdown: attack 87.9, midfield 85.9, defence 84.9.

Current Form

Record 12W 4D 4L
Goals 27–14
Clean Sheets 7
Form Score 77/100

Last 5 Matches

W W D W L

Squad Analysis

Japan's 7-man World Cup squad averages 27.3 years of age with a 83.4 form score and 80.6 tournament impact rating. 7 of 7 players are available for selection. The squad comprises 1 goalkeepers, 2 defenders, 2 midfielders and 2 forwards, combining for 45 international goals. Strengths include excellent recent player form, near-full squad availability, proven international goal threat. Potential concerns: limited defensive depth.

1

Goalkeepers

2

Defenders

2

Midfielders

2

Forwards

Key Players

Full squad

Expected Group F Finish

AI-simulated standings after all group-stage fixtures:

  1. 1 Netherlands Prediction →
  2. 2 Japan
  3. 3 Sweden Prediction →
  4. 4 Tunisia Prediction →

Expected Knockout Path

  1. Round of 32

    vs Brazil L 3-4
    Brazil prediction →
View full tournament prediction bracket →

Japan Group Stage Fixtures & Predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Japan's chances of winning World Cup 2026?

KickInsights AI assigns Japan a 0.8% probability of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup based on squad strength, recent form, FIFA ranking (#18) and simulated knockout outcomes.

Where will Japan finish in Group F?

Our AI predicts Japan to finish in position 2 in Group F after simulating all group-stage fixtures using predicted scores and tiebreakers.

Will Japan advance from the group stage?

Based on predicted group standings, Japan have approximately a 92% chance of advancing to the knockout round. The predicted exit stage is Round of 32.

What is Japan's predicted knockout path at World Cup 2026?

Round of 32 vs Brazil (L 3-4)

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